Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Weekend Picks: October 30 - November 2

This will hopefully be the start of a new weekly entry about the incredibly fun, but somewhat degenerate world of gambling on college athletics.

The format will be simple. I'll make 4 or 5 game picks per week and then one ridiculous parlay/ teaser bet. I'll post the odds and the bet. Next week we'll have a post-mortem from the prior week and then the next week's picks.

As long as the money lasts, we'll try to keep going.

Please remember that this is for recreational purposes only.

Recap of Last Weekend
Before we get to this week, I'll give you a quick recap of last weekend, which was a great one and has sparked my interest once again.

I took 4 games and went 4 for 4:

- Boise -7 at San Jose St - Actual result: BSU 33, SJSU 16 - WIN
Editorial Note: Boise State refuses to not cover.

- ND -10.5 at Washington - Actual result: ND 33, UW 7 - WIN
Editorial Note: The Irish have been significantly better ATS this year after a poor 2006 and 2007.

- MSU - 4 at Michigan - Actual result: MSU 35, Michigan 21 - WIN
Editorial Note: Michigan sucks.

- Oklahoma State +12.5 at Texas - Actual result: OSU 24, Texas 28
Editorial Note: I almost was going to pick OSU straight up, but held back.

This Week - 4 Games and a Big Parlay:
- South Florida -3 at Cincinnati - The Wager is 20 to win 18.18.
Editorial Note: I love the Thursday night games. Cincy looked real bad against Connecticut last week. Brian Kelly is not the genius he was last year.

- Navy -7.5 vs. Temple - The Wager is 20 to win 18.18.
Editorial Note: Navy didn't throw a pass last week in route to stomping SMU. I expect the same versus Temple. This line has since moved to -7 (see below), so that sucks.

- Boise -20.5 vs. New Mexico State - The Wager is 20 to win 18.18.
Editorial Note: Boise always seems to cover big spreads. I like any team that is playing purely for style points and trying to impress voters. Beating NMSU by less than 20 could cost Boise points in the polls.

- Georgia +5.5 vs. Florida - The Wager is 20 to win 18.18.
Editorical Note: Finally, I'm picking a REAL game. I like Georgia's defense in this matchup. The higher ranked team is the underdog and the game is at a neutral site. Florida's offense has put up big numbers on offense in their last 3 games, but I like the way Georgia's defense has played lately. I can envision Tebow and Company struggling, while Stafford and Moreno are able to move the ball.

- Fun Pick of the Week - 8 Game Parlay - 150 to 1 payout if we hit all 8
Oklahoma St -31 vs. Iowa St
Kansas -11 vs. Kansas St.
Missouri -20 at Baylor
Nebraska +22 at Oklahoma
ND -4.5 vs. Pitt
SFlorida -3 at Cincinnati
Navy -7 vs. Temple
Texas Tech +4 vs. Texas

Check back next week for the results.

7 comments:

Bernie Blozar said...

The fact that I can't bet on college football is very disappointing. I need a new job.

Your comment about picking a real game? Who cares? The money is all the same.

The Doob said...

I love this! So I want to see where you're at by the end of the year. You should start with $200, keep the tally (are you actually putting $20 on each game this week?) and we'll see how high you go by the end. I think you'll have a better payout than the market...

Bill said...

those are actuals and $5 on the big bet - I'll give you the full report with an earnings %

USF line is now -2.5, which is not cool

Bernie Blozar said...

I think we should all do this.

Bill said...

That would be fun - and Blozar could do it too, just for fake money

West Coast Bias said...

I have no idea how much I started with this week, but I will keep a tab starting next week.

We should have a pool to see who wins the most by percentage gain. Yes, I'm saying we should bet on the betting.

You'll see my picks this week in my other post.

Bill said...

Terrible start with USF, but I'm inspired by Blozar I may have to get in on that Tulsa-Arkansas game... That's the Gus Malzahn Bowl and the biggest game of the year for Tulsa, who is looking for some respect.

 
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