Here's the latest and greatest as we're in position for some controversy. Once again, these projections are if the season ended today.
National Title Game: Alabama vs. Texas
Rose: Penn State vs. Oregon State
Fiesta: Oklahoma vs. USC
Sugar: Florida vs. Utah
Orange: ACC Champ (four different teams can make the title game) vs. Cincinnati
Penn State is going to the Rose Bowl. If Oregon State wins the Civil War, the Beavers get the Pac-10's BCS bid, knocking out USC. That will keep the Big Ten from getting two teams in the BCS
The national title game more than likely is going to get a SEC team and a Big XII team. The SEC team will come from the winner of the Alabama-Florida game. The Big XII team is where the controversy exists. Everyone knows about that.
The second Big XII team will go to the Fiesta Bowl, because even if the SEC has the No. 1 team in the BCS, the Sugar Bowl is going to take an SEC team (loser of the SEC title game) and not someone else. The Fiesta gets selections two and three, taking the second Big XII team and USC, in a game that's very marketable.
Utah is guaranteed a spot as the top non-BCS conference team. They are a more attractive option than the Big East team. Who would you want to see Florida/Alabama vs. Utah or Florida/Alabama vs. Cincinnati.
The really messy situation comes if we get a loss from Florida, Alabama and/or Oklahoma this weekend. We'll cross that bridge next week.
Tuesday, November 25, 2008
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2 comments:
I think you missed a couple of key elements in you pairings. If OU wins on Saturday they are almost assured to win the Big 12 South, which would then prime them (not Texas) to play in the national title game. Consider that currently the Sooners have already jumped the Longhorns in both the Harris and Coaches' Polls (not to mention this one). With a much stronger final game (OSU) as compared to the Longhorns' (A&M).
I like your pairings, but I expect that your Oklahoma and Texas picks will be flipped.
While I realize that your projections are for "if the seasons ends today" and Texas is just barely ahead in the BCS (thus winning the tie-breaker), but I agree with The Starr. If OU wins and even if Texas beats A&M by 40, I think that OU will still jump up.
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