2-for-5 and a little about number 10

I did say to take the points and UB on Tuesday night. A 20-point win later and I save a little face.

I'll have my "suggestions" on betting the weekend's games later in the week.

As for Quinn, I have been a very big Brady Quinn supporter ever since the Browns made the proactive move to get back into the 2007 first round and select him. I think he's going to be very good, based on his college stats and his experience in college. It's a very good predictor -- number of starts by quarterbacks drafted in the first round.

Look at other college QBs who had over 40 starts -- Manning, Palmer, Rivers, Brees, McNabb -- and their success rate is much more likely. If you look at the QBs without that many starts -- Russell, Akili Smith, Alex Smith, Tim Couch -- and the success rate decreases. Granted, this wasn't a scientific study looking at all first-round QBs in the last 10 years, but I think my point is made.

For a little more in-depth look at college experience/success for pro success, here's an article from the Cleveland newspaper. The data is in the last few notes.