Duve wanted me to provide a mock draft. I'll run through the top 12 (I was going to stop at 11, but I figured Duve would get pissed). There are too many crazy trade scenarios out there. I'll give you things to watch for at each spot.
1. Detroit — The Lions are taking Matthew Stafford. I don't know if this is the right pick, but they've been working on the contract for a couple of days and it doesn't look like the negotiations will break down. When Peter King says he will be a Detroit Lion, I believe him.
2. St. Louis - The consensus is Jason Smith, the offensive tackle from Baylor. The Rams need offensive line help and he's rumored to be their choice for awhile.
3. Kansas City - All of a sudden, this is where the draft gets interesting. They were supposedly taking Aaron Curry (LB, Wake Forest) for the past month, but now it's coming out they might take Tyson Jackson (DL, LSU). If the Chiefs take Curry, the draft holds to form. If the Chiefs take Jackson, everyone gets knocked down a slot.
4. Seattle - More intrigue at this spot. They could go with Mark Sanchez for the QB of the future with Hasselbeck on his way down. They could go with Crabtree to continue rebuilding the wide receiver corps. They could trade out to someone who really wants Sanchez (Denver, Washington, Jets). If Curry drops, they could take him.
5. Cleveland - I'm just ignoring all the rumors currently because I honestly don't know if I could handle the Browns trading Brady Quinn right now (another column for another day). If they trade Braylon Edwards, they should draft Crabtree if he's still on the board, because the top receiver (with Donte Stallworth earmarked for jail time) right now is Sydric Steptoe (exactly). For the entire 2008 season, I said the Browns need to draft defense and that's what they should do. If Curry is on the board, the Browns need to jump on him. If he's not, then B.J. Raji (DT, Boston College) would be a very good pick. They could also go with Brian Orakpo (DE/OLB, Texas) or Tyson Jackson and I wouldn't be disappointed. If the Browns trade Quinn and draft Sanchez, I will never support Eric Mangini/George Kokinis.
6. Cincinnati - Needs to draft a lineman. If Eugene Monroe (OT, Virginia) falls, the Bengals have their choice of Monroe or Andre Smith (OT, Alabama). I would take Monroe, just because of this video. Could also draft Raji as they need help on both lines.
7. Oakland - Apparently the Raiders are fascinated with speed. Jeremy Maclin (WR, Missouri) has been the projection but now there's a rumor that Darrius Heyward-Bey (WR, Maryland) might be the selection, which would be a HUGE reach. If they want DHB, trade down.
8. Jacksonville - This is the sexy "trade" spot. The Jaguars are willing suitors and the Redskins are the top team for this spot. The Redskins would come up to get Sanchez. According to the draft chart, that's only a 250-point different from the No. 13 spot for Washington to the No. 8 spot. That's a low 2nd-round pick or like a 3rd and 4th. If the Jaguars stay in this spot, they could take an offensive tackle, especially if Monroe falls.
9. Green Bay - If the Redskins jump up to take Sanchez, Monroe could still be on the board and the Packers would love to get him as an offensive tackle. They could settle for Andre Smith. They also need help on the d-line, so if go there, someone from the group of Orakpo, Raji and Jackson could still be on the board.
10. San Francisco - This is an interesting team that is close to being successful as the NFC West is a terrible decision. Can use an offensive tackle and will probably go there. If the top three are off the board, cult hero Michael Oher would be the next option at OT. Hopefully, Mike Singletary has pants on while in the war room.
11. Buffalo - Finally we get to the Bills. I've had this feeling all week that Orakpo is going to fall to 11, after being projected to go as high as the top 5 earlier in April. Despite all of the money they have thrown toward the defensive line, they need help there. They could also go with Aaron Maybin, who I don't like after he just got manhandled in the Rose Bowl by USC. With the Jason Peters trade, they need an offensive tackle. Kirk Chambers isn't the answer. He couldn't cut it on the Browns' offensive line a few years ago. I don't think they will reach for Oher, but if one of the top three OT falls to them, they could go there. The Bills could also surprise us with a Donte Whitner-type selection from the 2006 draft.
12. Denver - The Broncos are interesting because they have two first-round picks. Todd McShay said he would shave his body if they trade up for Sanchez. There was a concern about their financial side having to pay four first-round picks in the next two years (having two first-round picks in 2010 as well). If they trade up, I have to think it's to go get Sanchez. If they stay here, D-Line seems to be the pick -- Orakpo or maybe Robert Ayers (DE, Tennessee).
You're not allowed to hold these against me as this stuff is really, pure guesswork. I feel more confident in the NCAA Tournament selections.
1. Detroit -- Stafford
2. St. Louis -- Jason Smith
3. Kansas City -- Curry
4. Seattle -- Crabtree
5. Cleveland -- Raji
6. Cincinnati -- Monroe
7. Oakland -- Macliln
8. Jacksonville -- Sanchez (the trade spot)
9. Green Bay -- Tyson Jackson
10. San Francisco -- Andre Smith
11. Buffalo -- Brian Orakpo
12. Denver -- Robert Ayers
Friday, April 24, 2009
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5 comments:
Nostradamus on the Heyward-Bey pick by Oakland. I love when Al Davis and Co. pull a move like this. They could have gotten him lat in the first, but decided he was worthy of the seventh pick, ahead of Crabtree and Maclin.
This pick may be a head-scratcher, but it pales in comparison to drafting kicker Sebastian Janikowski in the first round.
Well done on putting Ayers in denver, though they were able to snag him with 18 instead of twelve.
I'll give you credit for a good write-up. Didn't see Heyward-Bey (like pretty much everyone else) and the Jets seem to be putting a lot of their future on Greene and Sanchez. The draft brings two thoughts to mind right now:
1) Anyone in CO want to comment on the Broncos draft and the media/ fan response
2) How many ways can you spell the name Sean/ Shawn/ Shonn/ Shoane?
Shaun
Shjon
Chone
I'll finally comment on Denver's draft:
All I could think was "WTF McDaniels?" when he drafted the RB Morneo at twelve. Denver signed three free agent RBs in the offseason (JJ Arrington, Correll Buckhalter, Lamont Jordan) to cram into an already crowded pen from last season - though you always knew some of those guys would be gone anyway. After adding those guys, why throw the #12 pick on top of them? Admittedly, though, Moreno is a great talent and already the team's feature back.
All signs pointed to solidifying the defense. Denver's defense is riddled with gaping holes at each position, with about as much depth as an inflatable kiddie pool.
They were able to get the d-lineman Blozar predicted they'd pick at twelve with their Bears pick at 17. I guess having the extra picks aqcuired for Jay Cutler can afford the team to fill other holes too, as the running game was worse than that of the Saints in Nintendo's Tecmo Bowl.
Then Denver trades up to select a TE from North Carolina at the second round's conclusion. He himself admitted that he thought he'd be maybe a fourth round selection, yet McDaniels moved up to take him in the second. I was just thrilled when I read he's mostly a blocking specialist.
The fans/media have mostly embraced McDaniels while raining blame down upon Jay Cutler. I say to hell with those fans/media. Maybe McDaniels will prove me wrong on his draft and his fueling the trade of the teeam's best player, a young franchise QB, but I'm waiting to see what he runs out at Mile High this autumn.
Either way I'd love to shove a pie in his face.
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